最近、積立NISA(正式名称: つみたてNISA)を始めたので、投資の勉強を始めました。
YouTube界隈には投資系YouTuberが沢山いますが、日本で一番の登録者数(39.1万人)を誇っている高橋ダンさんは、英語でも市場分析をアップロードしているので、英語の勉強にもなります。

そこで、投資の勉強と英語の勉強を「Dan Takahashi English Channel」でやっています。
YouTube動画を使った英語スクリプトのただのディクテーションなのですが、継続できるように努力したいですね。誰か参考になれば。


今回は第10回です。
2021年3月6日の11分2秒の動画です。米国株の反転シグナルへの見解についてです。
日本語動画は日本語チャンネルの2021年3月5日「ハイテク株を買う！回復の理由を誤解するな！」です。

2021年3月6日 BUY Tech Stocks! HUGE Chart Reversal Pattern!



Hey everyone, Dan Takahashi here. Let me give you a brief overview on what happened today in the US stock market.

Today was a big day and I don't mean it just because the movements were big but the price action and the chart this is what's called a huge reversal. And it's a reversal especially in the tech sector there's a lot of different things going on here but basically what happened today was this was actually one of the largest reversals for the NASDAQ in the last one year it's called an intraday reversal.
【フレーズ】reversal
【意味】逆転、反転


And it probably means tech stocks are going to rebound from here and I think that right now is a good time to be covering your hedge positions that means if you're short something buy it if you're buying an already long something maybe buy a little bit more right now. Because the short term right now it looks like stocks especially tech stocks are going to go higher.

Let me give you a brief overview on this.

Those of you new to my channel my name is Dan I'm a former wall street guy former hedge fund guy please see the below description areas to who I am. Would appreciate if you guys subscribe to my channel below as well as press the thumbs up button as always well as a uh you know recommend my channel on social media et cetera would super appreciate your help guys.

残りのスクリプト

uh with that as well uh today currently

right now

is 1 53 p.m uh tokyo japan time it is

march the 6th meaning that it is still

march the 5th

in new york eastern time zone 11 54 p.m

so let me first talk about sector wise

what happened today and

let me first give you an overview today

of why today is so important and this

reversal is so important so

just to give you an overview today uh

markets overall across the world were

strong today especially in

the us right we saw the dow the nasdaq

the s p everything was up today

but you got to look at the charts to see

what really happened because

there's further to the story here now if

we look today especially at the nasdaq

here

we can see that this line here one whoop

down and whoop all the way back up

guys if you're new to investing if

you're new to charts please feel free to

review some of my

previous videos on my channel home page

there's a playlist that's called

investing for beginners i know some of

the stuff i say it just sounds like i'm

talking like i'm from mars

so just review some of that stuff then

maybe watch my videos and it may be a

little bit easier sometimes i also just

talk too fast so

i apologize in advance but uh that may

be better use of your time as well just

to review that first

so looking at this right now i feel like

this is a quite a

big reversal here and what's important

is to see what happened intraday here

so what happened throughout this one day

period is today

what happened looking at the nasdaq

chart is that basically we started the

day

doing pretty well right when the uh

basically the data came out for

uh the u.s jobs report and then it went

all the way back down in the nasdaq

and then started going all the way back

up throughout the day so

basically the low point today was

reached right around

noonish time in the u.s time zone

eastern time zone

this is right when european markets shot

so this is super important guys because

when you see the markets today you'll

see that what

european markets are down today like

what the what is going on here this

makes no sense

but u.s markets are up huge that's

because basically guys

all markets were down until roughly

around 11 30 a.m

new york eastern time zone everything

was down europe and u.s

then after that european markets shut

then u.s markets started to go up and up

and up today they were selling pressure

in the eu

sorry in the eurozone lots of selling

pressure there

then there was more buying pressure in

the united states especially u.s markets

north american markets

during the afternoon session so this is

super important to see here

and let's go further into this so i can

explain to you why this is so important

in the charts as well

so looking at this data i want to show

you what this what's called a reversal

here

uh what do i mean by a reversal so

basically when you look at the daily

charts

uh you look for sometimes we look for

important patterns that may give us an

indication of what's going to happen in

the stock market in the short term

and looking at this this is what's

called a large

uh daily reversal or a shooting star

here and i'm throwing all sorts of weird

stuff out there

but this looks like a shooting star

right a shooting star going up right

there's a line here on the below and

there's a bar chart up here what the

heck does that mean dan

that basically means that what happened

today is that there was

a big movement down throughout the

intraday and then

we went right back up as in the markets

actually started the day

pretty strong right the starting price

was actually this lower bar here

the starting price here we can see let

me zoom in it was right around here

12 600. then we went down throughout the

day crashed

then after european markets shut in the

afternoon went all the way back up and

ended up positive

on the day this is actually a really big

positive sign because it usually means

that all the sellers that want to sell

got out of the way they sold as much as

they want and then all the selling got

exhausted as in there's no more selling

and the markets go

usually back up from there so this is i

think what's called an exhaustion point

and markets are probably going to go

back up from here at least short term

looking at these charts now we see that

this is what happened in the nasdaq also

in the s p

500 something similar happened but it

was even a larger reversal

right because it opened up here down

small and we ended up two percent up on

the day so it was up even more than

nasdaq

the dow jones is even similar with an

even larger bar up here it opened down

small

and then ended up also almost two

percent as well

so now let's go with bisector by sector

just to see here uh

where the buying pressure was although

it's just most likely in tech

let's look at some of the etfs the

largest etfs

in the us just to see what sectors they

were buying pressures and what sectors

maybe

there still isn't that much buying

pressure or they're still selling

pressure

so first off let's start with this the

overall s p 500 today

looking at the volume today it was

pretty healthy i'd say that this is a

pretty good indicator that maybe

the selling pressure is over for now

looking at the dow jones as well

today the buying buying volume was

pretty good as well looking at this

volume here

qqq this is the nasdaq also buying

pressure was pretty strong here

and looking at this chart up i feel like

this is a great sign to me that

maybe the selling pressure got exhausted

and especially since this coincides with

the large indicated 100 day moving

average

probably we're going to see i'd say tech

stocks go up from here

now let's also move on to iwm the uh

this is the small cap index very similar

big shooting star pattern this is

similar to the nasdaq

so again i think this is a strong sign

that markets are going up from here

biotech as well very similar chart

biotech

and basically tech stocks they've been

getting hit the most the last two weeks

and these two are showing the exact same

shooting star patterns

where they got hit a lot and now this

looks like a star that's about to just

shoot upwards so

this looks very strong to me as well uh

now as you see consumer discretionary

very similar char padding uh this is

also shooting up as well

the uh this is this is this is the

sector that worried me the most

semiconductor so this is actually doing

quite well as

well so this looks like it's going up

here uh what else do we got here

uh materials and mining sector this is

also sector

not that much buying pressure here to be

honest so this doesn't actually look

that special today

uh the utility sector today was up a

little bit interestingly uh still

there's demand for utilities

the energy sector today also just

continued to shoot higher here this

looks like a very strong move

and then financials as well today quite

the big buying pressures here this

volume is actually the biggest volume

we've seen in the last few months for

the financial sector so this consecutive

continues to go up

last but not least the high-yield bond

the junk bonds this continues also

to show a little bit similar charge to

the nasdaq

and the small cap stocks so the big

selling pressure that happened for the

last basically week and a half

nasdaq growth stocks and bond market

right

these three right now it looks to me

like the selling pressure is kind of

abating here uh you know let's also look

at the government bond

uh etf here this is for government bonds

not corporate bonds and i often look at

tlt

and this right here we didn't see that

much buying pressure

uh so i don't know if this has subsided

yet

but let's look at quickly just the bond

market the

u.s the futures for the u.s 10-year

bonds

this okay this saw a little bit of a

shooting star as well

not much looking at the third year as

well a little bit of a shooting star

not that much indicating to me that

maybe the bomb market is also going to

stabilize a little bit

as well so these are all very strong

indicators to me that the markets are

probably going to stabilize on

monday so guys listening to all this

what's my recommendation for what i

think you should be doing with your

money

short term as usual guys investing is

and always will be self responsibility

so please do note guys that whatever i

say in my videos

it is usually just what i'm doing and

you can just take it with a grain of

salt

get information from a lot of different

people just always have you know what's

called a healthy skepticism as my father

used to say just

be a little bit skeptical just of what

the other person's saying it's fine

it's okay i don't take it personally we

all have our different styles

of how to invest but i just want to let

you know what's the thought process that

i'm going through and this is why i'm

making these videos

so long term wise continue to have a

portfolio like this

spread out between different asset

classes and then short term right now

this is where we're gonna make a big

change here i've been shorting

uh as a sort of uh what's called a hedge

an insurance policy

a lot of different things over the last

one and a half weeks

i basically started a week and a half

ago about a week ago because the

market's starting to look a little

dangerous on the charts

so i was shorting stuff like qqq i was

also shorting stuff

uh especially in the us markets just you

know just a general sort of short

spy i was also shorting in the japanese

markets

one three two one a one three o six this

is the main etf for the big indices in

japan like the topics of nikkei

i'm gonna be buying back a lot of my

positions

i was buying back today in the us i woke

up sort of in the middle of the night

and i just thought oh my god and then i

just bought back really fast

just looking at the pattern here i'm

probably going to buy back even more on

monday because there's less need i think

for protection right now

leave a little bit i always leave a

little bit of protection i never go no

protection so

always leave a little bit but i'm going

to cover a lot right now

because right now the market's probably

going to look to go back up so take some

profits the good thing about

these hedge positions is that i've been

selling shorting

these short-term portfolios so now i can

take profits it's important guys to

divide up your portfolio again

between short-term investing where you

do this is the going on you know trends

waves ups and downs

this is for short term anywhere between

a few days to a few months and then also

separately you want to do

long-term investing this is for your

retirement account you got to divide it

up because you're short-term

you can make these quick positions where

you just hedge and sort of give yourself

a protection

for your overall assets and then you can

change your mind quickly this long-term

stuff

i don't think you should change it that

much once a month you put new money into

it and invest it but you don't need to

be changing it every single day

so guys that's my advice hope you

enjoyed today's video if you did please

press the thumbs up button as well as

subscribe to my channel and

also if you would recommend my channel

to and your friends and family would

appreciate your support thanks so much

guys have a great weekend and

have a great day thanks guys