最近、積立NISA(正式名称: つみたてNISA)を始めたので、投資の勉強を始めました。
YouTube界隈には投資系YouTuberが沢山いますが、日本で一番の登録者数(39.1万人)を誇っている高橋ダンさんは、英語でも市場分析をアップロードしているので、英語の勉強にもなります。
そこで、投資の勉強と英語の勉強を「Dan Takahashi English Channel」でやっています。
YouTube動画を使った英語スクリプトのただのディクテーションなのですが、継続できるように努力したいですね。誰か参考になれば。
今回は第10回です。
2021年3月6日の11分2秒の動画です。米国株の反転シグナルへの見解についてです。
日本語動画は日本語チャンネルの2021年3月5日「ハイテク株を買う!回復の理由を誤解するな!」です。
Hey everyone, Dan Takahashi here. Let me give you a brief overview on what happened today in the US stock market.
Today was a big day and I don't mean it just because the movements were big but the price action and the chart this is what's called a huge reversal. And it's a reversal especially in the tech sector there's a lot of different things going on here but basically what happened today was this was actually one of the largest reversals for the NASDAQ in the last one year it's called an intraday reversal.
And it probably means tech stocks are going to rebound from here and I think that right now is a good time to be covering your hedge positions that means if you're short something buy it if you're buying an already long something maybe buy a little bit more right now. Because the short term right now it looks like stocks especially tech stocks are going to go higher.
Let me give you a brief overview on this.
Those of you new to my channel my name is Dan I'm a former wall street guy former hedge fund guy please see the below description areas to who I am. Would appreciate if you guys subscribe to my channel below as well as press the thumbs up button as always well as a uh you know recommend my channel on social media et cetera would super appreciate your help guys.
YouTube界隈には投資系YouTuberが沢山いますが、日本で一番の登録者数(39.1万人)を誇っている高橋ダンさんは、英語でも市場分析をアップロードしているので、英語の勉強にもなります。
そこで、投資の勉強と英語の勉強を「Dan Takahashi English Channel」でやっています。
YouTube動画を使った英語スクリプトのただのディクテーションなのですが、継続できるように努力したいですね。誰か参考になれば。
今回は第10回です。
2021年3月6日の11分2秒の動画です。米国株の反転シグナルへの見解についてです。
日本語動画は日本語チャンネルの2021年3月5日「ハイテク株を買う!回復の理由を誤解するな!」です。
2021年3月6日 BUY Tech Stocks! HUGE Chart Reversal Pattern!
Hey everyone, Dan Takahashi here. Let me give you a brief overview on what happened today in the US stock market.
Today was a big day and I don't mean it just because the movements were big but the price action and the chart this is what's called a huge reversal. And it's a reversal especially in the tech sector there's a lot of different things going on here but basically what happened today was this was actually one of the largest reversals for the NASDAQ in the last one year it's called an intraday reversal.
【フレーズ】reversal
【意味】逆転、反転
And it probably means tech stocks are going to rebound from here and I think that right now is a good time to be covering your hedge positions that means if you're short something buy it if you're buying an already long something maybe buy a little bit more right now. Because the short term right now it looks like stocks especially tech stocks are going to go higher.
Let me give you a brief overview on this.
Those of you new to my channel my name is Dan I'm a former wall street guy former hedge fund guy please see the below description areas to who I am. Would appreciate if you guys subscribe to my channel below as well as press the thumbs up button as always well as a uh you know recommend my channel on social media et cetera would super appreciate your help guys.
残りのスクリプト
uh with that as well uh today currently
right now
is 1 53 p.m uh tokyo japan time it is
march the 6th meaning that it is still
march the 5th
in new york eastern time zone 11 54 p.m
so let me first talk about sector wise
what happened today and
let me first give you an overview today
of why today is so important and this
reversal is so important so
just to give you an overview today uh
markets overall across the world were
strong today especially in
the us right we saw the dow the nasdaq
the s p everything was up today
but you got to look at the charts to see
what really happened because
there's further to the story here now if
we look today especially at the nasdaq
here
we can see that this line here one whoop
down and whoop all the way back up
guys if you're new to investing if
you're new to charts please feel free to
review some of my
previous videos on my channel home page
there's a playlist that's called
investing for beginners i know some of
the stuff i say it just sounds like i'm
talking like i'm from mars
so just review some of that stuff then
maybe watch my videos and it may be a
little bit easier sometimes i also just
talk too fast so
i apologize in advance but uh that may
be better use of your time as well just
to review that first
so looking at this right now i feel like
this is a quite a
big reversal here and what's important
is to see what happened intraday here
so what happened throughout this one day
period is today
what happened looking at the nasdaq
chart is that basically we started the
day
doing pretty well right when the uh
basically the data came out for
uh the u.s jobs report and then it went
all the way back down in the nasdaq
and then started going all the way back
up throughout the day so
basically the low point today was
reached right around
noonish time in the u.s time zone
eastern time zone
this is right when european markets shot
so this is super important guys because
when you see the markets today you'll
see that what
european markets are down today like
what the what is going on here this
makes no sense
but u.s markets are up huge that's
because basically guys
all markets were down until roughly
around 11 30 a.m
new york eastern time zone everything
was down europe and u.s
then after that european markets shut
then u.s markets started to go up and up
and up today they were selling pressure
in the eu
sorry in the eurozone lots of selling
pressure there
then there was more buying pressure in
the united states especially u.s markets
north american markets
during the afternoon session so this is
super important to see here
and let's go further into this so i can
explain to you why this is so important
in the charts as well
so looking at this data i want to show
you what this what's called a reversal
here
uh what do i mean by a reversal so
basically when you look at the daily
charts
uh you look for sometimes we look for
important patterns that may give us an
indication of what's going to happen in
the stock market in the short term
and looking at this this is what's
called a large
uh daily reversal or a shooting star
here and i'm throwing all sorts of weird
stuff out there
but this looks like a shooting star
right a shooting star going up right
there's a line here on the below and
there's a bar chart up here what the
heck does that mean dan
that basically means that what happened
today is that there was
a big movement down throughout the
intraday and then
we went right back up as in the markets
actually started the day
pretty strong right the starting price
was actually this lower bar here
the starting price here we can see let
me zoom in it was right around here
12 600. then we went down throughout the
day crashed
then after european markets shut in the
afternoon went all the way back up and
ended up positive
on the day this is actually a really big
positive sign because it usually means
that all the sellers that want to sell
got out of the way they sold as much as
they want and then all the selling got
exhausted as in there's no more selling
and the markets go
usually back up from there so this is i
think what's called an exhaustion point
and markets are probably going to go
back up from here at least short term
looking at these charts now we see that
this is what happened in the nasdaq also
in the s p
500 something similar happened but it
was even a larger reversal
right because it opened up here down
small and we ended up two percent up on
the day so it was up even more than
nasdaq
the dow jones is even similar with an
even larger bar up here it opened down
small
and then ended up also almost two
percent as well
so now let's go with bisector by sector
just to see here uh
where the buying pressure was although
it's just most likely in tech
let's look at some of the etfs the
largest etfs
in the us just to see what sectors they
were buying pressures and what sectors
maybe
there still isn't that much buying
pressure or they're still selling
pressure
so first off let's start with this the
overall s p 500 today
looking at the volume today it was
pretty healthy i'd say that this is a
pretty good indicator that maybe
the selling pressure is over for now
looking at the dow jones as well
today the buying buying volume was
pretty good as well looking at this
volume here
qqq this is the nasdaq also buying
pressure was pretty strong here
and looking at this chart up i feel like
this is a great sign to me that
maybe the selling pressure got exhausted
and especially since this coincides with
the large indicated 100 day moving
average
probably we're going to see i'd say tech
stocks go up from here
now let's also move on to iwm the uh
this is the small cap index very similar
big shooting star pattern this is
similar to the nasdaq
so again i think this is a strong sign
that markets are going up from here
biotech as well very similar chart
biotech
and basically tech stocks they've been
getting hit the most the last two weeks
and these two are showing the exact same
shooting star patterns
where they got hit a lot and now this
looks like a star that's about to just
shoot upwards so
this looks very strong to me as well uh
now as you see consumer discretionary
very similar char padding uh this is
also shooting up as well
the uh this is this is this is the
sector that worried me the most
semiconductor so this is actually doing
quite well as
well so this looks like it's going up
here uh what else do we got here
uh materials and mining sector this is
also sector
not that much buying pressure here to be
honest so this doesn't actually look
that special today
uh the utility sector today was up a
little bit interestingly uh still
there's demand for utilities
the energy sector today also just
continued to shoot higher here this
looks like a very strong move
and then financials as well today quite
the big buying pressures here this
volume is actually the biggest volume
we've seen in the last few months for
the financial sector so this consecutive
continues to go up
last but not least the high-yield bond
the junk bonds this continues also
to show a little bit similar charge to
the nasdaq
and the small cap stocks so the big
selling pressure that happened for the
last basically week and a half
nasdaq growth stocks and bond market
right
these three right now it looks to me
like the selling pressure is kind of
abating here uh you know let's also look
at the government bond
uh etf here this is for government bonds
not corporate bonds and i often look at
tlt
and this right here we didn't see that
much buying pressure
uh so i don't know if this has subsided
yet
but let's look at quickly just the bond
market the
u.s the futures for the u.s 10-year
bonds
this okay this saw a little bit of a
shooting star as well
not much looking at the third year as
well a little bit of a shooting star
not that much indicating to me that
maybe the bomb market is also going to
stabilize a little bit
as well so these are all very strong
indicators to me that the markets are
probably going to stabilize on
monday so guys listening to all this
what's my recommendation for what i
think you should be doing with your
money
short term as usual guys investing is
and always will be self responsibility
so please do note guys that whatever i
say in my videos
it is usually just what i'm doing and
you can just take it with a grain of
salt
get information from a lot of different
people just always have you know what's
called a healthy skepticism as my father
used to say just
be a little bit skeptical just of what
the other person's saying it's fine
it's okay i don't take it personally we
all have our different styles
of how to invest but i just want to let
you know what's the thought process that
i'm going through and this is why i'm
making these videos
so long term wise continue to have a
portfolio like this
spread out between different asset
classes and then short term right now
this is where we're gonna make a big
change here i've been shorting
uh as a sort of uh what's called a hedge
an insurance policy
a lot of different things over the last
one and a half weeks
i basically started a week and a half
ago about a week ago because the
market's starting to look a little
dangerous on the charts
so i was shorting stuff like qqq i was
also shorting stuff
uh especially in the us markets just you
know just a general sort of short
spy i was also shorting in the japanese
markets
one three two one a one three o six this
is the main etf for the big indices in
japan like the topics of nikkei
i'm gonna be buying back a lot of my
positions
i was buying back today in the us i woke
up sort of in the middle of the night
and i just thought oh my god and then i
just bought back really fast
just looking at the pattern here i'm
probably going to buy back even more on
monday because there's less need i think
for protection right now
leave a little bit i always leave a
little bit of protection i never go no
protection so
always leave a little bit but i'm going
to cover a lot right now
because right now the market's probably
going to look to go back up so take some
profits the good thing about
these hedge positions is that i've been
selling shorting
these short-term portfolios so now i can
take profits it's important guys to
divide up your portfolio again
between short-term investing where you
do this is the going on you know trends
waves ups and downs
this is for short term anywhere between
a few days to a few months and then also
separately you want to do
long-term investing this is for your
retirement account you got to divide it
up because you're short-term
you can make these quick positions where
you just hedge and sort of give yourself
a protection
for your overall assets and then you can
change your mind quickly this long-term
stuff
i don't think you should change it that
much once a month you put new money into
it and invest it but you don't need to
be changing it every single day
so guys that's my advice hope you
enjoyed today's video if you did please
press the thumbs up button as well as
subscribe to my channel and
also if you would recommend my channel
to and your friends and family would
appreciate your support thanks so much
guys have a great weekend and
have a great day thanks guys
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